Many traders get stuck in the trap of trading the news by over analyzing every single economic report that comes out and trying to guess what the market will do in response to it. It is very easy to develop this bad habit if you do not have a clear understanding of why trading the news is dangerous and essentially pointless. If you are basing your trading decisions of off what you think will happen after an economic report comes out than you are just guessing and really have no better chance at a winning trade than if you were to flip a coin. Let’s discuss the reasons why trading the news can be one of the worst things you can do for your trading account.
First off, markets move on expectations of future events, often when the actual event or news release happens the move is either over or ready to come roaring back the opposite direction that the news report implied. This is why you may have heard the term “buy the rumor sell the fact”. However, it is very easy to get sucked into the trap of fixating yourself on one specific economic report that looks like it could really move the market in a certain direction. Once you convince yourself that what you expect to happen based on a news event is what most likely will happen, you have basically dug your own grave for your trading account.
You can avoid this entire trading pitfall of trading the news by remembering two things; price action reflects everything that is happening in the markets, and prices are contrarian. Price action analysis will show you the likely direction the market is expecting before any economic report is released. A quality forex trading course will give you specific setups and a unique way of looking at the market via price action analysis that will allow you to make your trading decisions based off the real and solid data reflected on the chart. Price action contains all the information you need to be a successful forex trader. You do not need to over analyze every single economic indicator and pull your hair out with frustration by trying to figure out what will happen next. The only thing you need is price action analysis. Most professional traders have been consistently profiting from price action for years without even so much as a thought about economic releases.
Prices in any market are inherently contrarian. This means that usually price will do the opposite of what it appears should logically happen next. This is why many beginning traders have so much trouble and lose all their money and then some. You really need to understand that often when it looks safe to enter a trade, or a market is breaking to new highs or new lows, this is the exact time the amateurs are getting on board because they feel safe about entering. They are trading off of emotion because they have no real game plan or trading strategy. Price action will tip you off when a move has run its course or when the dominant trend is ready to resume. There are specific price action strategies demonstrated in a good forex trading course that will give you the edge you need to survive and thrive in the contrarian world of forex trading. I can tell you from personal experience if you try to trade based off emotion with no real education in price action you will end up buying tops and selling bottoms. Markets are by nature extremely contrarian and the only real way to read what the charts are telling you is by analyzing and developing a trading method around price action.
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